Tag Archives: Polling

No More Dough: Obama Has Spent His Political Capital As Approvals Plummet (Video)

Double Digit Drops For American Messiah..
See you next Honeymoon!

I try not to wade too deeply into the American domestic situation beyond politics, but seeing as the President openly interferes in Israeli domestic affairs; including instructing us to ‘Engage in Self-Reflection’ (what an insult this was) as well as instructs us to stop living, not attack Iran, and equally determines from Washington it seems where we can & cannot build within Jerusalem itself.. It is clearly according to the American administration itself  ‘open season’.

Plummeting Confidence in the US President’s Leadership

So let’s open with the fact that more Americans now disapprove than approve of the job the US president is doing on the economy, on deficits, on health care. In fact it is now clear more Americans disapprove of every single major initiative the President has going. He’s got a ways to go yet thankfully for him until he reaches the magic 6% approvals he has registered with Israelis. Of course that polling was done before the President’s advisers seemingly declared Jerusalem Judenrhein – So I expect his numbers here to dip below 6% & hit oblivion now with his ‘stalwart ally’.

In the mean time the American numbers are of great interest for me as a poll flunky.. If you are a literary fellow, Jennifer Rubin looks at additional numbers and it doesn’t look any better in print than on TV!

Here’s ABC video of the most excellent overall, Jack Tapper on El Presidente’s US Numbers.

RCP describes the Prez’s numbers as “Tanking”.
Heh! Quick, somebody schedule a speech in Germany or something!
HT Real Clear Politics

Full Disclosure: Anti Bias Polling Bill To Become Law (Updated)

In an effort to quell what has become evident media bias & undue influence on the public, a bill designed to limit media influence before primary voting has become law.

This may seem somewhat controversial, but in light of the cycle of events in recent elections and the polling which is routinely absurdly off base here, something needed to be done. Is this a solution? Perhaps not, but it does constitute a sharp slap & message to both pollsters & media in Israel who were wholly unapologetic for their bias recently, in what was clearly an attempt to influence elections.

Via YNET:

The Knesset on Wednesday approved a bill prohibiting the publication of polls during the four days prior to any primary election. The bill constitutes a fine of NIS 67,300 (about $17,700).

The bill also states that polls that are published will be obligated to include certain details such as number of people polled, their background, and information regarding the method used to gather the data.

The proposal was initiated by Knesset Members Ophir Pines-Paz (Labor), Tzachi Hangebi (Kadima), Gideon Sa’ar (Likud) and Yuli Edelstein (Likud). It was submitted a few months ago, and legislative procedure was spurred after Kadima Chairwoman Tzipi Livni’s victory over her opponent, Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz.

The polls on the Kadima primaries showed a landslide victory for Livni, but on election eve she won by just a small margin. [...]

One notes that major players in all major parties were in favor & proposal, because the situation has become totally untenable to the point of openly influencing & manipulating Israeli Democracy by paid flacks in Israeli media, which has become like its US counterpart a sad, ill respected partisan joke. Israel is a small country with a heavy heavy media presence, this causes much more influence than larger markets may be accustomed to.

Subtle warning?

I would consider this a warning a shot, as it applies to primary votes not general elections. A free society depends on a free press, this is a signal in my belief to the media that it is time to start acting more responsibly, and to let the people not the agenda decide elections. The media sham that took place in the Kadima primary was the most shameful display in recent Israeli election history, the election of Livni was manipulated and everyone including Kadima itself knows it. Disclosure clauses in the bill would indicate a well warranted lack of trust in the media & polling, and puts the pollsters on notice..

Update: Israel Channel 2 to cease reporting primary polling entirely

Globes: Sources inform ”Globes” that Channel 2 News CEO Avi Weiss has decided that the company will no longer report primaries polls. He cited a professional recommendation by several polling and research firms because of polling inaccuracies. Until now, Channel 2 News and other news stations and media published primaries poll data, including polls in the Kadima party primaries mid-September, which were won by Minister of Foreign Affairs Tzipi Livni. The decision will apply to primaries held by any party. [...]

We never do anything half way in Israel, it’s part of our charm.. Channel 10 is now under the spotlight, the Public broadcaster Channel 1 also released polling data on Primary night but waited until polls closed, an improvement but they still called the election in error based ENTIRELY on exit polling like other media outlets! Can you imagine!? Calling the elections on Exit Polls without counting votes, in some cases before polls even closed!? Total insanity. Incidentally, major print media are affiliated with the TV media stations and share / initiate polling data jointly.

Poll This: Obama behind negative Jewish polling?

Ben Smith at the politico does a good job reporting on the latest flap, the outrage of far left Obama supporters including Jewish constituents over a lengthy message poll by the Republican Jewish Coalition which after defining the pol-lee through questioning, highlights Obama’s featherweight record on foreign policy – specifically the issue of the Levant & Israel to gauge their position on Obama’s record & message..

[...] The poll asked voters their response to negative statements about Obama, including reported praise for him from a leader of the Palestinian terror group Hamas and a friendship early in his career with a pro-Palestinian university professor. Some Jewish Democrats who received the poll – including a New Republic writer who lives in Michigan – were outraged by the poll, describing it in interviews as “ugly” and disturbing. A group that supports Obama, the Jewish Council for Education and Research even staged a protest outside the Manhattan call center from which the calls originated Tuesday.

“If the RJC is responsible for these calls, which are designed to frighten Jews and sow mistrust, they have forfeited their place at the Jewish table,” said the co-executive director of the group, Mik Moore. “It is incumbent upon the McCain campaign to speak out forcefully against this and ongoing efforts by his supporters to scare Jews into supporting his candidacy.”

The fact that there are ‘negative statements about Obama’ in relation to Israel which may be of interest to Jewish voters and are indeed pretty factual, represents it seems a problem for Mr. Obama.. Not the RJC. Boohoo, cry me a river. Just curious was Andrew Sullivan a non Jew by mistake also polled? That would explain a lot, I find him ‘ugly & disturbing’ and he doesn’t even venture into the realm of fact, he sticks to sewage.. The left is always crying foul it seems while treading knee deep in the sewer, spare us. This ‘mock outrage’ is borderline pitiful.

These same sort of ‘outraged groups & individuals’ were the source of scandalous and viscious attacks when the Palin announcement was made, very personal attacks and now they cry foul? It stinks. The NJDC & Mr. Wexler have a long way to go if they wish to become neutral voices of reason in this election.. Good luck with that. Stop whining.

Brooks, however, denied that the poll was meant to influence Jewish voters, and said it was a traditional poll meant to gauge the opinions of Jewish voters.  “What we did is test, in standard polling methodology, a number of factual issues that have been reported on in the press and are policy positions to see how they’re resonating in the Jewish community,” said Brooks. “The notion that this is a ‘push poll’ is offensive to us.”

Brooks said the RJC, whose board includes advisors and fundraisers for Senator John McCain, had placed 750 calls to Jewish voters in five states: Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. He accused the protesters of “intimidation.”

Mark Blumenthal, editor of the website Pollster.com, said the form of the poll, and its length of 15 minutes, made it more likely to be a traditional “message testing” survey than a “push poll,” in which brief calls are made to deliver a message and the caller typically has no interest in the results. He added, however, that in some cases a pollster might anticipate-and welcome-the possibility that negative questions would draw media attention and, indirectly, amplify the pointed statements.

Certainly, they have drawn attention: After first reporting on two voters who were polled, Politico was contacted by a half-dozen more, and many Jewish Obama backers are livid at the survey.  “The fact that the Republican Jewish Coalition is targeting Jewish Americans with these disgraceful and deceitful tactics fits in perfectly with the dishonorable campaign that John McCain has chosen to run. Peddling lies and hateful distortions to scare Jewish voters is reprehensible and deeply disrespectful to Jewish Americans,” said Florida Congressman Robert Wexler, an Obama supporter. [...]

The call to have McCain renounce the polling is absurd. American Jewish Obama backers should be livid at the horse they are betting on if their prime concern is Jewish issues it would seem to me, if there is polling being done highlighting these inconvenient realities and they fear a negative result in key swing states, they should have thought about that before dumping Hillary who has a much stronger record on these issues. Wexler the attack dog can say what he will, these are the cards Obama dealt him.  The only person responsible for negative results in message polling to my Jewish friends & family in America is – Barack Obama. Stay livid, it might help the left in this particular issue which is a losing battle when faced with McCain / Palin.

Obama may have big Jewish left money behind him, but he doesn’t have the issues – Just ask the pollsters it seems..

HT & More at the memeorandum