Tag Archives: Mofaz

GoldenGirl Livni’s Disaster: 1 Point Win Mocks Media; Kadima; Public (Updated Below)

No Credibility, No Mandate, No Sweeping Adoration.

The tally is in and Livni has won by a mere 431 votes, instead of 49% to 37% as projected by every single outlet of big media in Israel last night, Livni’s lead is actually 1 measly percentage point. 43.1 to 42% - Shocking. It smells so corrupted I feel the need to shower. Worse, there were ‘voting irregularities’ last night in the arab sector (as usual) pushing Livni which may have clinched it for her – on top of her poll closing shenanigans.

A trend is developing, big media is pumping agenda driven polls in election after election to push their own horse. We saw it with Olmert, we saw it with Livni, and now we saw it even in the exit polls which declared Livni the winner before voting even ceased, studios closed down for the night, reporters went home and they drove Mofaz home as well in disappointment – but that wasn’t the story it seems.

Shocking Win

These results combined with the blatant manipulation by media, the blatant manipulation by Kadima to force polls open even longer at the last minute for their Princess Livni is a travesty and a mockery. Forget the fact that Israel’s new PM is decided by less than 20,000 people / votes – Now it is not even decided by those 20,000 it seems out of our 7 Million, it is decided by someone else entirely like some third world country, a true Banana Republic.

Livni has no mandate that much is clear. She is not the adoring savior shoved down our throats by our media with fictitious massive 20% victories over her rivals, and 20% electoral projected landslides in national elections, she will not sweep anything in national elections as I posted previously and that is precisely why we will be denied them. She has a zero success rate and that was proven again last night beyond her Foreign Ministerial failures.

Enough with this farce

Where does Kadima go from here? Our PM refuses to vacate, his replacement is coronated like a queen, negotiations & concessions steam forward with no mandate, now not once but a second time it seems, state affairs are not dealt with.. We are ruled it seems like a brothel – By a bunch of greedy corrupt prostitutes and their media pimps. Now Shas & Labor have seemingly even dropped their pre-requisites for remaining in the coalition, meaning nothing has changed at all.

Now that it is proven Livni is far from a winner the left’s GoldenGirl clearly cannot deliver, and the last thing that can be allowed is elections to drive this failure reality home.

Update: Lonely Planet

I’m feeling kinda gothca’d, which is why I seem to be the only person beefing about this, the media in Israel is seemingly skipping right over the whole debacle above. Contrast this to the Bush Kerry results 4 years ago where similar exits told a similar story and there was shock afterward, there was quite a bit of talk in the media about jumping the gun. Following some Clinton miscalls in this US election cycle, media again in the US looked at the need to restrain themselves..

Where are the opinion pieces in Israel with similar tones? The election was called across the board and was overshot by about 10% – a full 1/4 of the vote, it certainly affected the vote itself as well. If I find some dissent I will link it. Further, if I was feeling like a bastard I would contrast YNET political reporting last night which was gloating & filled with exhilaration, with the muted fare available today..

Link Update:
Thank Goodness SD does the phenomenal groundwork here
, I thought I might be losing my mind. The Nissenbaum shot and the WP quotes are instant classics.

div

UPDATE Sep 19: Mofaz’s Exit from Politics

Shaul is taking a political breatherMofaz has dropped a shocker, his exit from politics. Many are carrying on with the same scorn he received in the campaign, calling him sore loser etc. But I see it differently, he was indeed robbed, a victim of racism and ugly class rivalries in Israel amongst other things, and if he stays he benefits not himself so much, as Livni who’s party and who’s own experience looks paltry without him..

The Jerusalem Post analyzes the situation today, they’ve clearly been reading some high quality material ; )

[...] The Kadima establishment, they lamented on his behalf, had set him up to fail. Livni was the golden girl, to be crowned come what may. After decades of military and public service, he had been misrepresented throughout the campaign as a murky political operator and Likud hawk, and his popularity relentlessly undermined by skewed and baseless polls.

On primary day itself, when he still had a good chance of victory, the Mofaz camp further complained Thursday night, he was quashed by a combination of disqualified ballots, extended voting hours and the reprehensible broadcast of exit polls falsely showing an overwhelming Livni victory – an appalling breach of democratic norms that could only have persuaded those Mofaz supporters still waiting to cast their ballots that they were wasting their time and should head home. [...]

Phew, it is not such a lonely planet after all..

Big thanks for making Kadima Primary day the Hashmonean’s biggest traffic day in a while. I also saw that Jameel had an excellent post on the polling fracas, nice one – Both the Jpost full article and the Muqata look at polling are worthy reads.

Kadima Vote: Polls are open for tonight’s results (Updated: Livni Leads Kadima)

Just a short post, the real action happens after 10 pm tonight when we will know if it is Livni or Mofaz taking up Olmert’s position as party leader, or perhaps a runoff if things are tight. Each candidate needs at least 40% of the vote to avoid a two person runoff so it is certainly possibility – turnout will be important because polls have been tight at times and Livni needs a huge get out the vote effort to avoid a head to head with Mofaz who controls a large chunk of Kadima party base.

Jpost
Haaretz
Ynet

Keep in mind that sealing the Kadima party win is only a 1st step, the new leader will have approx. 40 days to form a new majority coalition with the existing Knesset tally seats & parties, or Israel heads to the polls in a new general election..

UPDATE: Livni displays ‘leadership poise’

Camp Livni and the Lady herself are sweating it up this evening, because turnout is so far VERY low. (under 30% by 6PM)

Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni disappointed by ‘unsatisfactory turnout rate’, urges voters to head to polling stations; about 19% of Kadima’s registered voters cast ballots by 4 pm.

Attila over at Ynet who is Livni’s greatest cheerleader there must be also stressing, because he’s been updating turnout all day like it is going out of style, raise your hand if you are sure Attila.. Well, take solace Livni, I’ve been pretty disappointed by your unsatisfactory leadership rate too, so I guess so far it all evens out. Good luck and get out that vote!! You need it to win.. 3.5 hours to go until polls close.

UPDATE II: Pitiful – Livni requests 1 hour long poll extension! Gets 30 minutes.. Polls to close at 10:30 NOW. Who goes out to vote suddenly at 10 at night when the day has been beautiful, not a cloud in the sky!? Only those getting desperate phone calls from Livni supporters, sad.. Very very sad. All day Livni in the media begging people to vote like a broken record, over & over again - Desperation is very attractive it seems. The ‘leader with the clean hands’ seems prepared to get dirty even before polls have closed, bodes well for Israel. *eyeroll*

Update III: Initial exit polls are out
Livni 43, Mofaz 38, Sheetrit & Dichter both close to 10%
These are exit polls, 1000 polled – this is not the final result but a projection.  Well off the massive 20 & 15% leads these same pollers attributed to Livni before the election. It looks tight at the top, crossing the 40% mark is crucial for either candidate.

Update IV:
Looks like Livni with further exit calls on polling – Livni 47, Mofaz 38. In the last 2 hours alone over 20% of votes were polled, from a 30% turn out to over 50%, also news that everyone in line will be allowed to vote, so clearly Livni’s late evening push to get polls open later has paid off as she is pulling ahead in exit polls late.

Update V: Mofaz has left his campaign hall
No official call conceding, but close enough.. As Mofaz seems to acknowledge that the difference is now getting too large to close, especially with the big Livni gains coming late. Latest exits show Livni pushing to 48, Mofaz 37-38, Dichter 7, Sheetrit 7.

Channel 1 (Israel’s public broadcaster) reported on the media role in pushing Livni and speculated on the effect noting Mofaz had one media handler, Livni half a dozen with the media all day long touting one message: Livni wants to get out the vote.

Update VI 12am: Official results trickling in

No official win yet, and Livni is still an hour away from announcing / giving a speech as official results are only being tallied. Tzahi Hanegbi, one of the more senior Kadima members says he believes waiting is justified as results will in his eyes likely be closer than these exit polls show despite Livni seemingly having won. (Tzahi endorsed Livni.) Mofaz reportedly to speak tonight was well.

Coalition talk:
Shas the party most seen as critical to Livni to form a coalition is on every network tonight selling the benefits of awarding them billions in Social Payment Shekels to secure their seats in a new coalition. If that happens, prepare for a new reign even more left than Olmert.

Meretz the radical left party is reportedly elated with a Livni win and prepared to join a future coalition as well. If Shas does not join but Meretz, Labor, The Retirees, & Kadima form up with the Arab parties putting them over the top they could get 60-62, a slight majority. That says it all, Israel’s future not in its own hands, but being handed over to our Arab brothers..

Kadima! Forward.. with an even harsher leftward tilt!! (oh joy)

Kadima! 'Forward'.. with an even harsher leftward tilt!! (oh joy)