Tag Archives: McCain

Crucial? American Israeli Vote May Hold Keys to Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania

40,000+ Strong – Half of them hail from battleground states.

Votefromisrael.org

According to the get out the vote non partisan ‘Vote From Israel’, if the race is tight in key swing states the Americans living in Israel & registered to vote could tip the balance (JPOST)

[...] “If the election is close, as it was in the past two [presidential] elections, then the deciding votes could be coming from Israel,” he said. According to the organization, Israel has the third-largest group of American voters abroad, behind Canada and Britain.

While the largest number of registered US voters in Israel come from New York or New Jersey, two states heavily in the Democratic camp according to polls, the next two states are the key battlegrounds of Ohio and Florida. Several thousand votes will likely be going to those swing states from Israel.

Furthermore, the significance of the votes from Israel could be magnified because they will come well before the November 4 election. Their choices, to be reported next week in an Israel-based exit poll commissioned by Vote From Israel, could influence American Jews in the United States, believes Greenspan. [...]

Many of these Israeli American good souls are devout, a great many of them in fact. If we look at the block voting from Israel from a purely Jewish perspective in comparison to American Jewish voters with no Israeli ties, polling so far would show that this could be a big chunk of change for McCain in key states.

Data so far from America points to Orthodox Jewish Americans overwhelmingly supporting John McCain for President, in stark contrast to more secular & Liberal Jewish voters who favor not so much Obama as posted yesterday, but the Democratic party itself. The polling numbers also say that McCain pulls heavily in the demographics most cognizant of Israel as an important foreign policy issue, again this issue in polling has shown overwhelming resonance with Orthodox voters for whom a strong Israel, with the Star of David above Jerusalem is non-negotiable.

If we disregard the USA data for a moment and look only at Israeli Americans with votes, I’d surmise the picture for McCain is even stronger coming out of Israel. Poll after poll in Israel of Israelis show heavy leans towards McCain. It is the worst kept secret in Israel that the Military elite which comprises a huge power base here, and the political & government strata also overwhelmingly favor what is being called ‘more of the same’ – Meaning, friendly GOP which under Bush has been a valued friend.

Obama Biden & Iran

Recent sensational statements by Biden about Obama have raised red flags, the notion that Obama will be ‘quickly tested’ according to Biden by enemies of America, and that Obama’s response will go against the grain of American public opinion, thus requiring the ‘far left to explain to the rest of America they are in the right’ immediately conjures up images of Obama leaving Israel flapping in the wind in the face of Iranian nuclear aggression. Both these links above give somewhat divergent interpretations of Biden’s remarks, but I disagree with Allahpundit on this one.

These statements reinforce the worst fears about Obama here in Israel, where few are prepared to go quietly into the wind in the face of a nuclear armed Islamic fundamentalist state that calls for genocidal destruction of Israel. We are wary of Obama here and with good reason.

Get Out the Vote

Israeli American voters here will be by default uber security conscious for obvious reasons, issues like Missile Defense funding, US sponsored peace negotiations, sanctions on Iran & Syria, the isolation & destruction of terrorist organizations etc, are pillars here in Israel. Many Israelis polled refuse to answer whom they prefer openly leaving large undecided blocks, that mirrors American Jewish data stateside as well. There may be of thousands of McCain votes pouring into crucial Ohio, Florida, and linchpin Pennsylvania – Special delivery from the Holy Land.

“Vote From Israel” will hold events in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv on October 26th and 28th, in which registered voters can drop off their ballots and, if they have yet to receive ballots from their state or country, submit a federal ballot provided by the organization.

I am partisan, If you are an American living in Israel, this election may be crucial to both countries in a manner not seen for 60 years. Please register & Vote!

 

The 2000 U.S. Presidential Election was decided on 537 votes. Your vote can make the difference. Welcome to Votefromisrael.org, where we strive to make it easy for 250,000 US citizens living in Israel to vote in the American elections.


Obama’s Jewish Vote numbers are even worse than thought (Video)

We already know that Obama has an American Jewish vote problem, compared to Democrats running in the previous 4 Presidential election cycles he trails those candidates by approx 15% in even the friendliest polls.

His preacher’s anti semitic led 20 year stint in the Trinity Church certainly does not help, where Rev Wright has referred to Israel as a ‘dirty word’, nor does the fact that he has waffled himself on Israel issues as well as surrounded himself with advisors who believe that squeezing Israel is a handy solution to world problems..

The left is spinning the fact that more Jews vote Democrat by huge numbers, but it is still spin.

New data coming out of NY University paints the Obama Jewish vote in even worse light than I thought, firstly the numbers posted are worse for Obama than previously seen in other polling data, and secondly of those that are voting Obama - The data shows party affiliation with Liberal Jews as the reasoning, not confidence in Mr Obama by any means. In contrast McCain enjoys much higher Jewish support than normal for Republican candidates and wins the race for American Jews listing Israel as an important issue for them, sadly all too few do..

Jews are backing Barack Obama based primarily on traditional identification with the Democratic Party, a new study finds.

The support has less to do with the the presidential candidates’ positions on issues or other factors, according to the report released Monday by the Berman Jewish Policy Archive at New York University’s Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service.

The report attempted to determine why Jews supported Obama by 30 percentage points more than non-Jewish whites did in simultaneous polls taken in early September. The poll of 1,596 Jews was taken by Synovate shortly after the Republican Party convention and before all four debates and the stock market decline.

It found Jews favoring Obama over McCain by a 51-25 percent margin, with 24 percent undecided — which the authors reconfigured to a 67-33 margin for Obama after throwing out the undecided voters and counting only those who had made a decision. A similar process found 37 percent of non-Jewish whites backing the Democrat.

The report finds that such a discrepancy could not be explained by differences in education or income, or by their stands on issues. For example, the study found that Jews are about as equally concerned with social welfare issues — health care, education and poverty — as non-Jewish whites and Hispanics and less concerned than blacks.

Instead, the report states support for Obama can best be explained by Jews’ “historic, passionate, and high significant commitment to the Democratic Party and the liberal camp in America” — with the numbers finding that Jews are “excessively” connected to the party and and a liberal political identity.

“I was surprised,” said Hebrew Union College professor and Berman Archive director Steven M. Cohen, one of three authors of the study. “I thought Jews were voting more in line with issue orientation.” But Jews, he said, “do not look like extreme liberals” when one looks at their stands on issues.

Israel fell in the middle — eighth out of 15 — when Jews were asked how to rate their issues of importance. Those who rated Israel more important also were more likely to back McCain

I didn’t run any polls but it seems fairly obvious today that American Jewry is less attached to Judaism & Israel than it has been historically, a look at assimilation numbers would easily confirm this. At such a critical time for the region and American foreign policy in general, at least some of our brethren are keeping America’s historical commitment to a strong Israel in mind as evidenced by a miniscule 55% showing for Obama in the Jewish vote, which is a full 25 points short of usual Democratic candidates high numbers..

Unfortunately, many Jews seem to have also replaced Judaism with a new religion, Democratic Liberalism, where party affiliation trumps all even though the Democratic party bears little resemblance to the party it once was, and has instead embraced much more radical left wing stances, as evidenced even by the choice of Obama himself who is far to the left of Clinton.

There are real and serious contrasts

While Hillary Clinton famously answered a few months ago in the primaries that if Iran attacked Israel under her leadership America would have to ‘destroy them’, Obama in contrast is looking to court Iran and said nothing remotely of the sort. While Hillary’s husband Bill squarely opined after Camp David II that it was not Israel, but Arafat that was the obstacle to peace, Obama chose Robert Malley the lone dissenter to Clinton on that very issue, to be one of his Israel advisors. Malley then called for dialog with Hamas terrorists which made him a crutch to the Obama campaign..

Historic election in more ways than one?

I hope in the end we are all wrong about Obama, however it seems clear enough to me that he is likely to retreat on the concept of keeping Israel strong as an American pillar of foreign policy, which in essence weakens America. He was all too eager to retreat from Iraq weakening America, so it seems clear that Israel would be an even lesser priority and rightly so generally. However, the US / Israel relationship is symbiotic, when Israel is strong it strengthens America and her policies, just as when the USA is strong it strengthens Israel by leaps.

That huge 20% undecided Jewish block may very well make the difference between a strong or weak Israel, between a strong or weak America, and between the Islamic Republic of Iran – the world’s foremost sponsor of terrorism possessing nuclear weapons or not.

Margin of Error: American War Hero Never Says Quit

Media on a 24-7 non stop Obama love fest for months on end, yet he has STILL sealed nothing

Gallup within the margin of error..
Gallup within the margin of error..

Financial turmoil, military threats, terrorism, inflation, jobs, out of control spending. The task will be herculean for America going forward but they have persevered before. Who can lead in such times of turmoil? A neophyte fast talking faster spending deficit amassing one term Senator, or a bi-partisan senior Senator with a 5 year stint as a war hero, never broken even by the Vietcong? Is it about character, if it is who shows it in spades..

A better question, who lacks it?

All I know is if the roles were reversed, if Obama were being hammered everyday all day by the media he would not have held composition for even an hour. He jumps to racism whenever challenged, he’s all flash no substance, and I believe he’d break within minutes. Fold America’s cards to her enemies and in the face of every challenge domestic or foreign - that’s truly how I feel. If looking in from the outside as I am, one were to judge this race by the coverage, by the media, by the bias Obama should be leading 89 to 11%.

Shabtai Zvi come again?

As a political junkie I’ve never seen anything like this media torrent, to me Obama is nothing more than Shabtai Zvi. The man who claimed to be the Jewish Messiah spreading waves of excitement across the Jewish world, only to cave in the face of Judaisms enemies the moment he was actually challenged.. He converted to Islam rather than stand his ground sowing despair amongst his people.

Obama may be buying up America and its media with his campaign war chest, but America can no longer afford to simply buy up the world, divided internally and somewhat cash strapped it seems rather obvious they are going to need a leader.. Not a big spender to overcome. In the end, they will inevitably get what they ordered either way.

HotAir has a look at Gallup & Rasmussen numbers.
Obama Hasn’t Closed the Sale – Karl Rove
McCain’s Shot at a Late Game Win – Dick Morris

Fine Wine: Pounding Obama on Israel has never looked this good

Better than Six Flags!!

Yes, I hassle the Democratic nominee to no end. Seeing as he pretty much gets a free ride everywhere else I’m figuring somebody’s gotta do it. In any case, surely the big foreign policy debate on Friday deserves giving Obama another shot or two, No? Though McCain hitting him with that classic ‘oh please’ line in reference to negotiating with Iran was pretty classic.. I wasn’t hooked up to any of Frank Luntz’s fancy dialometers but I felt my favorables shooting up for McCain nonetheless : )

Capturing my worldview

It was Kinda like the feeling I got when I read this by Yoram Ettinger, which captures my thinking on these matters so succinctly I’m kinda wishing I wrote it.. I skipped some of the intro but captured the meaty stuff below.

Obama, McCain and Israel – Who really stands by Israel? Obama’s, McCain’s worldviews provide the answer.

[...]

1. According to McCain, World War III between Western democracies and Islamic terror/rogue regimes is already in process. According to Obama, the conflict is with a radical Islamic minority, which could be dealt with through diplomacy, foreign aid, cultural exchanges and a lower US military profile. Thus, McCain’s worldview highlights – while Obama’s worldview downplays – Israel’s role as a strategic ally. McCain recognizes that US-Israel relations have been shaped by shared values, mutual threats and joint interests and not by frequent disagreements over the Arab-Israeli conflict.

Right away while reading this I was thinking this is not standard fare, my second thought was I’ve been wasting a lot of time and effort, this worldview motif is the way to go and Ettinger is clearly a genius.

2. According to Obama, the US needs to adopt the worldview of the Department of State bureaucracy (Israel’s staunchest critic in Washington,) pacify the knee-jerk-anti-Israel-UN, move closer to the Peace-at-any-Price-Western Europe and appease the Third World, which blames the West and Israel for the predicament of the Third World and the Arabs. On the other hand, McCain contends that the US should persist – in defiance of global odds – in being the Free World’s Pillar of Fire, ideologically and militarily.

After this second paragraph my love for all things Ettinger was blossoming, because the only thing possibly more fun than slamming Obama in America.. is slamming the US Department of State! This man does both those things in one go, while still elevating America itself to its rightful pedestal of awesomeness – Poetry Yoram, poetry.

3. According to Obama, Islamic terrorism constitutes a challenge for international law enforcement agencies and terrorists should be brought to justice. According to McCain, they are a military challenge and should be brought down to their knees. Obama’s passive approach adrenalizes the veins of terrorists and intensifies Israel’s predicament, while McCain’s approach bolsters the US’ and Israel’s war on terrorism.

The over the top bring them to their knees bit? Loved it. To say nothing of the plain truths here. Terrorists understand only one thing, force. NO NEGOTIATIONs, no court rooms, no rules of civic law. These are not deterrents, there is no room for Law & Order ‘technicalities’ with terrorists - In Israel this is plainly understood.

4. Obama and his advisors assume that Islamic terrorism is driven by despair, poverty, erroneous US policy and US presence on Muslim soil in the Persian Gulf. On the other hand, McCain maintains that Islamic terrorism is driven by ideology, which considers US values (freedom of expression, religion, media, movement, market and Internet) and US power a most lethal threat that must be demolished. McCain’s worldview supports Israel’s battle against terrorism, demonstrating that the root cause of the Arab-Israel conflict is not the size – but the existence – of Israel.

The Liberal apologist blame the West 1st worldview, and its relation to Israel neatly tied up here. You would think these simple concepts would be obvious, sadly that is not the case. Despite 300+ advisors Obama just doesn’t get it.

5. Contrary to McCain, Obama is convinced – just like Tony Blair – that the Palestinian issue is the core cause of Middle East turbulence and anti-Western Islamic terrorism, and therefore requires a more assertive US involvement, exerting additional pressure on Israel. The intriguing assumption that a less-than-100 year old Palestinian issue is the root cause of 1,400 year old inter-Arab Middle East conflicts and Islamic terrorism, would deepen US involvement in Israel-Palestinians negotiations and transform the US into more of a neutral broker and less of a special ally of Israel, which would drive Israel into sweeping concessions.

We certainly can’t have any of that, it is never ending with the concessions & appeasement. These failed Iraq Study Group concepts blow chunks – Failed, dis-proven, and flawed. Even if we conceded all of Israel it would bring about no change in the Global Jihad. The appeasers tried to play that tune in Iraq but AEI, McCain, Bush, Lieberman and Petraeus along with about 20,000 extra US forces proved them quite wrong. The road to Baghdad does not pass through Jerusalem after all it seems huh Baker? Ooops.

Obama’s worldview would be welcomed by supporters of an Israeli rollback to the 1949 ceasefire lines, including the repartitioning of Jerusalem and the opening of the “Pandora Refugees’ Box.” On the other hand, McCain’s worldview adheres to the assumption that an Israeli retreat would convert the Jewish State from a power of deterrence to a punching bag, from a producer – to a consumer – of national security and from a strategic asset to a strategic burden in the most violent, volatile and treacherous region in the world.

The writer is a Middle Eastern and American affairs expert

You can say that again, Ettinger captures the essence of the race, the Israel US relationship, the global menace, the threat of terrorism, as well as everyone’s role (Israel’s included) concisely in one power packed opinion piece. I’m impressed and I’m I’m pretty jaded guy over all, I don’t impress easily.

Diminishing Returns: US Jewish support for Obama at historic lows

Obama pulling only 57% of those polled, While an astounding 76 to 80 percent supported the Democratic candidate in 4 previous elections..

It’s not looking too good in the US Yid department.

Despite near Messianic fervor on the far left for Mr Obama, the one term, one year serving Senator who has been hounded by much weaker foreign policy views; Including welcoming talks with Iran & Syria, waffling on Jerusalem’s unity, being endorsed by Israel’s enemies, and mentoring for 20 years under a wildly anti Semitic Church - is struggling to pull American Jewish voters according to the latest polling. There’s shocker, huh?

One Man’s loss is another man’s gain

On the flip side McCain is pulling strong numbers for the Republicans at 30%, with an alarming for Obama 13% still undecided. Perhaps they will run home to papa as they say, but if they don’t and if say 8-10% went McCain’s way he would set a monumental Jewish American support record for the GOP, perhaps cracking a whopping 40% – Unheard of.

From JPOST below (also at Haaretz)

Obama leads 57 percent to 30% among those polled in the American Jewish Committee’s 2008 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion, with 13% undecided, but he significantly trails the Jewish vote for recent Democratic presidential candidates.

By contrast, John Kerry received 76% of the Jewish vote four years ago against George W. Bush, and in the three prior presidential elections, Democrats won 78% to 80% of Jewish votes. [...]

Jpost goes on to note that Palin is not very popular with those polled at only 37% approval while Biden weighs in with a strong 73%. Palin’s not very well known, I’m less surprised by the VP numbers, she still bests McCain overall. But illuminating is this..

The economy was seen as the most important issue. Fifty-four percent of respondents said that was the one issue they would “most like the candidates to discuss,” with 11% answering health care, 6% the war in Iraq and just 3% answering Israel.

How would you explain those numbers? Perhaps like this..

Obama has already lost on the foreign policy issue, and those polled perhaps want to weigh still outstanding views on the economy, or they just don’t factor much for Israel. Which makes less sense when you view Obama’s historic lows and the juicy 30 McCain pulls in the poll. He’s already 6 points HIGHER than Bush, who in 2004 was seen as a very close friend to the Jewish State only 3 years after 9/11 yet, and who himself upped that Jewish support number by 4 or 5%.

In any case, that low 57% support number polled could spell disaster in key swing states. I expect Obama to lay it on thick re: Israel in tonight’s debate if it stays on the Foreign Policy topic, thicker than we have ever seen. He could backtrack fully on a number of issues (Iran), and mirror his strong sounding but fleeting AIPAC speech the day after he won nomination. I believe they call it pandering in America lol.

What choice does he have? Have you seen these numbers? No wonder the NJDC & J Street behaved like depraved lunatics this past week, they are likely in a frothy panic.

Alaskan Palin Warms Hearts: Israelis should know I am a longtime friend

American & Symbolic Israeli Flag of Friendship Grace Governor’s Office

Shimon Peres our own symbolic President has been busy lately for a sprite 82 year old, Gd bless him.

He delivered an address at the UN General Assembly rebuking Assmad from Iran, presided over deliberations with Knesset factions over forming a new Government, gave a speech at the Clinton Initiative, and met with both McCain & his running mate Sarah Palin. This is in the past three days alone! Thankfully for international relations purposes, Peres didn’t try to french kiss Palin like our last President Katsav might have (unceremoniously dumped from office over sexual assault allegations).

On the contrary, Ynet reports the meeting between allied leaders was great, friendly & warm. Further putting the Palin question on Israel (which was only in doubt in Obama advisors’ minds) squarely away for good.

[...]
Upon meeting the Israeli president, Palin told him she has wanted to meet him and get to know him for years. She added that the only flag in her office, aside from the American flag, is the Israeli flag, stressing that she wants Israelis to know that she’s been a longtime friend of the Jewish state, and will remain such. Peres also took the opportunity to briefly speak to Republican presidential hopeful John McCain, who referred to the Israeli president as a longtime friend. [...]

VP Nominee Palin & GOP nominee McCain warmly greet President Peres (Israel Govt Press Office)

VP Nominee Palin & GOP nominee McCain warmly greet President Peres (Israel Govt Press Office)

Indeed, we already knew. I’d like to let the Governor know that Israelis having lived and wrestled our own wild Middle Eastern frontier are big fans too, other than the fact Israelis consider 15 degrees celcius near freezing, Alaska seems pretty darn super.

  • We have Ibex, you have Caribou
  • We have sand, you have snow
  • You are running against a Hussein, We make the Husseins run from us
  • You hunt Moose, we hunt Terrorists
  • You border Russia, We room & board millions of Russians!
  • You have indigenous peoples, heck we are indigenous peoples!!

Clearly, there are strong parallels. But seriously, let’s hope this is the 1st of many great friendship meetings between Israelis & Alaskans.