Tag Archives: Jewish Vote

Crucial? American Israeli Vote May Hold Keys to Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania

40,000+ Strong – Half of them hail from battleground states.

Votefromisrael.org

According to the get out the vote non partisan ‘Vote From Israel’, if the race is tight in key swing states the Americans living in Israel & registered to vote could tip the balance (JPOST)

[...] “If the election is close, as it was in the past two [presidential] elections, then the deciding votes could be coming from Israel,” he said. According to the organization, Israel has the third-largest group of American voters abroad, behind Canada and Britain.

While the largest number of registered US voters in Israel come from New York or New Jersey, two states heavily in the Democratic camp according to polls, the next two states are the key battlegrounds of Ohio and Florida. Several thousand votes will likely be going to those swing states from Israel.

Furthermore, the significance of the votes from Israel could be magnified because they will come well before the November 4 election. Their choices, to be reported next week in an Israel-based exit poll commissioned by Vote From Israel, could influence American Jews in the United States, believes Greenspan. [...]

Many of these Israeli American good souls are devout, a great many of them in fact. If we look at the block voting from Israel from a purely Jewish perspective in comparison to American Jewish voters with no Israeli ties, polling so far would show that this could be a big chunk of change for McCain in key states.

Data so far from America points to Orthodox Jewish Americans overwhelmingly supporting John McCain for President, in stark contrast to more secular & Liberal Jewish voters who favor not so much Obama as posted yesterday, but the Democratic party itself. The polling numbers also say that McCain pulls heavily in the demographics most cognizant of Israel as an important foreign policy issue, again this issue in polling has shown overwhelming resonance with Orthodox voters for whom a strong Israel, with the Star of David above Jerusalem is non-negotiable.

If we disregard the USA data for a moment and look only at Israeli Americans with votes, I’d surmise the picture for McCain is even stronger coming out of Israel. Poll after poll in Israel of Israelis show heavy leans towards McCain. It is the worst kept secret in Israel that the Military elite which comprises a huge power base here, and the political & government strata also overwhelmingly favor what is being called ‘more of the same’ – Meaning, friendly GOP which under Bush has been a valued friend.

Obama Biden & Iran

Recent sensational statements by Biden about Obama have raised red flags, the notion that Obama will be ‘quickly tested’ according to Biden by enemies of America, and that Obama’s response will go against the grain of American public opinion, thus requiring the ‘far left to explain to the rest of America they are in the right’ immediately conjures up images of Obama leaving Israel flapping in the wind in the face of Iranian nuclear aggression. Both these links above give somewhat divergent interpretations of Biden’s remarks, but I disagree with Allahpundit on this one.

These statements reinforce the worst fears about Obama here in Israel, where few are prepared to go quietly into the wind in the face of a nuclear armed Islamic fundamentalist state that calls for genocidal destruction of Israel. We are wary of Obama here and with good reason.

Get Out the Vote

Israeli American voters here will be by default uber security conscious for obvious reasons, issues like Missile Defense funding, US sponsored peace negotiations, sanctions on Iran & Syria, the isolation & destruction of terrorist organizations etc, are pillars here in Israel. Many Israelis polled refuse to answer whom they prefer openly leaving large undecided blocks, that mirrors American Jewish data stateside as well. There may be of thousands of McCain votes pouring into crucial Ohio, Florida, and linchpin Pennsylvania – Special delivery from the Holy Land.

“Vote From Israel” will hold events in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv on October 26th and 28th, in which registered voters can drop off their ballots and, if they have yet to receive ballots from their state or country, submit a federal ballot provided by the organization.

I am partisan, If you are an American living in Israel, this election may be crucial to both countries in a manner not seen for 60 years. Please register & Vote!

 

The 2000 U.S. Presidential Election was decided on 537 votes. Your vote can make the difference. Welcome to Votefromisrael.org, where we strive to make it easy for 250,000 US citizens living in Israel to vote in the American elections.


Obama’s Jewish Vote numbers are even worse than thought (Video)

We already know that Obama has an American Jewish vote problem, compared to Democrats running in the previous 4 Presidential election cycles he trails those candidates by approx 15% in even the friendliest polls.

His preacher’s anti semitic led 20 year stint in the Trinity Church certainly does not help, where Rev Wright has referred to Israel as a ‘dirty word’, nor does the fact that he has waffled himself on Israel issues as well as surrounded himself with advisors who believe that squeezing Israel is a handy solution to world problems..

The left is spinning the fact that more Jews vote Democrat by huge numbers, but it is still spin.

New data coming out of NY University paints the Obama Jewish vote in even worse light than I thought, firstly the numbers posted are worse for Obama than previously seen in other polling data, and secondly of those that are voting Obama - The data shows party affiliation with Liberal Jews as the reasoning, not confidence in Mr Obama by any means. In contrast McCain enjoys much higher Jewish support than normal for Republican candidates and wins the race for American Jews listing Israel as an important issue for them, sadly all too few do..

Jews are backing Barack Obama based primarily on traditional identification with the Democratic Party, a new study finds.

The support has less to do with the the presidential candidates’ positions on issues or other factors, according to the report released Monday by the Berman Jewish Policy Archive at New York University’s Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service.

The report attempted to determine why Jews supported Obama by 30 percentage points more than non-Jewish whites did in simultaneous polls taken in early September. The poll of 1,596 Jews was taken by Synovate shortly after the Republican Party convention and before all four debates and the stock market decline.

It found Jews favoring Obama over McCain by a 51-25 percent margin, with 24 percent undecided — which the authors reconfigured to a 67-33 margin for Obama after throwing out the undecided voters and counting only those who had made a decision. A similar process found 37 percent of non-Jewish whites backing the Democrat.

The report finds that such a discrepancy could not be explained by differences in education or income, or by their stands on issues. For example, the study found that Jews are about as equally concerned with social welfare issues — health care, education and poverty — as non-Jewish whites and Hispanics and less concerned than blacks.

Instead, the report states support for Obama can best be explained by Jews’ “historic, passionate, and high significant commitment to the Democratic Party and the liberal camp in America” — with the numbers finding that Jews are “excessively” connected to the party and and a liberal political identity.

“I was surprised,” said Hebrew Union College professor and Berman Archive director Steven M. Cohen, one of three authors of the study. “I thought Jews were voting more in line with issue orientation.” But Jews, he said, “do not look like extreme liberals” when one looks at their stands on issues.

Israel fell in the middle — eighth out of 15 — when Jews were asked how to rate their issues of importance. Those who rated Israel more important also were more likely to back McCain

I didn’t run any polls but it seems fairly obvious today that American Jewry is less attached to Judaism & Israel than it has been historically, a look at assimilation numbers would easily confirm this. At such a critical time for the region and American foreign policy in general, at least some of our brethren are keeping America’s historical commitment to a strong Israel in mind as evidenced by a miniscule 55% showing for Obama in the Jewish vote, which is a full 25 points short of usual Democratic candidates high numbers..

Unfortunately, many Jews seem to have also replaced Judaism with a new religion, Democratic Liberalism, where party affiliation trumps all even though the Democratic party bears little resemblance to the party it once was, and has instead embraced much more radical left wing stances, as evidenced even by the choice of Obama himself who is far to the left of Clinton.

There are real and serious contrasts

While Hillary Clinton famously answered a few months ago in the primaries that if Iran attacked Israel under her leadership America would have to ‘destroy them’, Obama in contrast is looking to court Iran and said nothing remotely of the sort. While Hillary’s husband Bill squarely opined after Camp David II that it was not Israel, but Arafat that was the obstacle to peace, Obama chose Robert Malley the lone dissenter to Clinton on that very issue, to be one of his Israel advisors. Malley then called for dialog with Hamas terrorists which made him a crutch to the Obama campaign..

Historic election in more ways than one?

I hope in the end we are all wrong about Obama, however it seems clear enough to me that he is likely to retreat on the concept of keeping Israel strong as an American pillar of foreign policy, which in essence weakens America. He was all too eager to retreat from Iraq weakening America, so it seems clear that Israel would be an even lesser priority and rightly so generally. However, the US / Israel relationship is symbiotic, when Israel is strong it strengthens America and her policies, just as when the USA is strong it strengthens Israel by leaps.

That huge 20% undecided Jewish block may very well make the difference between a strong or weak Israel, between a strong or weak America, and between the Islamic Republic of Iran – the world’s foremost sponsor of terrorism possessing nuclear weapons or not.

Diminishing Returns: US Jewish support for Obama at historic lows

Obama pulling only 57% of those polled, While an astounding 76 to 80 percent supported the Democratic candidate in 4 previous elections..

It’s not looking too good in the US Yid department.

Despite near Messianic fervor on the far left for Mr Obama, the one term, one year serving Senator who has been hounded by much weaker foreign policy views; Including welcoming talks with Iran & Syria, waffling on Jerusalem’s unity, being endorsed by Israel’s enemies, and mentoring for 20 years under a wildly anti Semitic Church - is struggling to pull American Jewish voters according to the latest polling. There’s shocker, huh?

One Man’s loss is another man’s gain

On the flip side McCain is pulling strong numbers for the Republicans at 30%, with an alarming for Obama 13% still undecided. Perhaps they will run home to papa as they say, but if they don’t and if say 8-10% went McCain’s way he would set a monumental Jewish American support record for the GOP, perhaps cracking a whopping 40% – Unheard of.

From JPOST below (also at Haaretz)

Obama leads 57 percent to 30% among those polled in the American Jewish Committee’s 2008 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion, with 13% undecided, but he significantly trails the Jewish vote for recent Democratic presidential candidates.

By contrast, John Kerry received 76% of the Jewish vote four years ago against George W. Bush, and in the three prior presidential elections, Democrats won 78% to 80% of Jewish votes. [...]

Jpost goes on to note that Palin is not very popular with those polled at only 37% approval while Biden weighs in with a strong 73%. Palin’s not very well known, I’m less surprised by the VP numbers, she still bests McCain overall. But illuminating is this..

The economy was seen as the most important issue. Fifty-four percent of respondents said that was the one issue they would “most like the candidates to discuss,” with 11% answering health care, 6% the war in Iraq and just 3% answering Israel.

How would you explain those numbers? Perhaps like this..

Obama has already lost on the foreign policy issue, and those polled perhaps want to weigh still outstanding views on the economy, or they just don’t factor much for Israel. Which makes less sense when you view Obama’s historic lows and the juicy 30 McCain pulls in the poll. He’s already 6 points HIGHER than Bush, who in 2004 was seen as a very close friend to the Jewish State only 3 years after 9/11 yet, and who himself upped that Jewish support number by 4 or 5%.

In any case, that low 57% support number polled could spell disaster in key swing states. I expect Obama to lay it on thick re: Israel in tonight’s debate if it stays on the Foreign Policy topic, thicker than we have ever seen. He could backtrack fully on a number of issues (Iran), and mirror his strong sounding but fleeting AIPAC speech the day after he won nomination. I believe they call it pandering in America lol.

What choice does he have? Have you seen these numbers? No wonder the NJDC & J Street behaved like depraved lunatics this past week, they are likely in a frothy panic.

Reality Check: It is not Palin BUT Obama who has a Jewish problem

Ben Smith at the politico tries to desperately get the Democrat house in order by pilling on..

Jewish voters may be wary of Palin

ST. PAUL, Minn. – Barack Obama has struggled for 18 months to lock down the support of a traditionally Democratic group, Jewish voters. In the past week, John McCain may have helped Obama with his Jewish problem by choosing Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate.

McCain and Obama are battling over a portion of the Jewish community: older, conservative Democrats, largely in South Florida, some of whom backed Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary. McCain’s secular, hawkish credentials appeal to many in that group, who are skeptical of Obama’s relatively short record and have been deluged with rumors about his pro-Palestinian leanings.

But Democrats hope Palin’s social conservatism, her paper-thin record on Israel, and – perhaps most importantly – her cultural roots in evangelical Christianity may be a major turnoff to Jewish voters, just as Republicans have tried to reach women disappointed that Obama didn’t choose Hillary Clinton,

Democrats have already begun to to capitalize on the choice of Palin – over Jewish Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman – in South Florida and elsewhere. A prominent Obama backer, Florida Rep. Robert Wexler, has attacked Palin for appearing at a 1999 event with Pat Buchanan – who has attacked the influence of the Israeli lobby in America. And the same factors that are rallying the evangelical base to Palin may push away the Jews.
[...]

What is astounding is that the Democrats think they have a winning issue here. One would have to be a moron to overlook the fact that Obama blows with whichever direction the wind is in, any statement he makes or has made on Israel, the Middle East, The Arab World, Iran is likely to change depending on the mood around him, he’s fickle and he’s weak. His advisers want to dramatically engage in the Palestinian process according to his chief foreign affairs surrogate Susan Rice, that can only mean one thing: Massive pressure for unwarranted concessions and an American FORCED fake peace that will bring all new heights of violence, and result in the slaughter of untold innocent Israelis to terrorists.

Obama & Biden are both weak on Iran, weak on Islamic Fundamentalism, Biden himself still holds to the concept that Shia & Sunni rivalries trump Israeli and Jewish hatreds in the Muslim Arab world, a uniquely unqualified view which in effect despite his so called experience is in direct contradiction to fact regarding Hezbollah, Hamas, Syrian & Iranian ties all around Israel and now Iraq as well. These two politicians prefer to appease Iran..

The Preacher in the Attic

Obama and his family spent the last 20 years in a Church with a rabble rousing Palestinian loving anti-semite as its lead preacher. A man who’s hatreds are not limited to Israel, but include America and White People with Jews elevated to a very secial platform of hate. Black Power as it is often called invariably involves scapegoating American Jews, I find it hard to believe that this kind of record enamors American Jews more than a hard working Governor mother from Alaska?

If this is the only issue for these voters, and it surely is not. Given the choice between Evangelical Church goers who are traditionally the strongest group for advocacy on Israel in America, versus a black nationalist anti-semitic preacher with a 20 year record of Jew hatred, the only person with a problem is Mr. Obama. Ben Smith can bandy the talking points about all he likes, it won’t change the facts.

Comedy Central

As for capitalizing on the choice of Palin over Lieberman, who quested to dump Lieberman the Orthodox Jew from his seat, who threw Lieberman out of the party and laced his previous campaign with anti-jewish hatreds? Why that was the Democrats. Who has stated for months that on Jewish issues concerning Israel the choice is clearly McCain over Obama, why that was Lieberman himself.. Who spoke last night at the GOP convention, it was not a Jews for Jesus preacher, it was not the Reverend Jeremiah Wright, it was not even the until now never heard of Rep. from Florida Mr. Wexler.. But Joe Lieberman.

If this is a battle of character, a battle for Jewish voters, those Democrats and their tuchus licking press sure have a funny view of capitalizing because their candidate is pulling the lowest amount of those voters in recent history, I wonder why that is?

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LINK UPDATE: Gateway Pundit / Founding Bloggers destroy the question entirely with a list of painful highlights for the Obama camp, along with some good advice.. Don’t go there.